Investors Missing the Boat on Gold and Silver Explorers

www.MidasLetter.com

Gold’s apparently effortless breach of the $1,500 mark, accompanied by its staunch ally silver towards $50 an ounce, marks new territory for the Age of Monetary Metals, which we have now entered. The twin frauds, the artificially high valuation of the U.S. dollar and the equally nefarious intervention by the Chinese to keep the Yuan down, are driving the world’s savers increasingly towards the only transparent (well, except for the increasingly flaccid derivatives market price manipulation) and trustworthy monetary unit. At this point, I’m embarrassed to be a human being.

What will posterity say about this era in history, where a small cadre of over-educated men and women perpetrate simultaneous scams against the rest of us to support an undeserved sense of entitlement expressed in grossly excessive lifestyles?

Where are the protests in the United States? What happened to the American spirit, that historically rose up against oppression and enslavement? In China, the fear is palpable. They’re even barring access to churches, which, unfortunately for the present regime, is the great error repeated throughout history. Steal their money, deny them a decent standard of living, sure, but deny them access to their God? A fatal error, my Chinese friends.

In America, it would appear that the obsession with microscopic partisan philosophy differences and dogma undermines any possibility of a united electorate behind issues of grave and imminent import. It’s a distraction of the highest caliber, and a perfect example of how the current model of human beings can easily occupy itself with senseless superficiality while the stage upon which they debate is incrementally consumed by termites. Completely transfixed by spectator sports, utterly mindless video games, vapid entertainers, and formulaic and insipid movies, and a hundred thousand talking heads all delivering variations on the Great Lie of the once great United States, America is doomed. 300 million puffed up roosters strutting around indignantly in what was once a resource rich land of promise but is soon to be nothing more than an abattoir from sea to shining sea. What a surprise it will be when the fences erected to keep the outsiders out turn out to be fortified by the outsiders to keep the insiders in.

And still, the financial services industry, now a juggernaut smashing the financial infrastructure of the world to smithereens under its own colossal inertia, defecates a steady stream of worthless and impoverishing investment products on the oh-so-thoroughly anesthetized and distracted American investing public. The collateralized debt obligations and securitized junk loans have been refined and retuned and now re-appear as triple A trash among the cleverly adorned offerings of Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan.

Poor, poor, mainstream investors.

How horrible it must be to be an investor and not know anything about investing in the Toronto Venture Exchange (TSX Venture) and Toronto Stock Exchange’s (TSX) vast selection of gold, silver and oil explorers and producers. How impoverished must be the millions of global investors making due with single digit gains, if any, and more commonly, losses at the hands of major investment banks who load their portfolios with garbage.

It still ranks as a well kept secret, the phenomenal gains being realized by astute investors on these Canadian exchanges, where nearly 80% of the world’s natural resource investment capital is raised and directed into projects from Tasmania to Alaska.

A case in point: Newstrike Capital (TSX.V:NES, OTCBB: NWSKF.PK), a Midas Letter pick from our January 2011 edition that our subscribers picked up for $1.20 a share, announced on April 20th that one of their drills had intercepted over 230 metres (755 feet) of mineralized core on the company’s Ana Paula project in Guerrero, Mexico that graded an average of 7.5 grams per tonne of gold. The stock promptly doubled, providing those who bought at $1.20 with an immediate 100% gain, in a mere three months. That’s 400% performance annualized.

Now granted, Newstrike is the exception rather than the rule. TSX and TSX Venture stocks with major discovery potential tend to appreciate more slowly, and the intercepts encountered by their drilling programs are rarely so dramatic.

And quite frequently, the progress of share price appreciation is inhibited by the unfortunate realities associated with financing exploration activity. By the time a company who is exploring for gold and silver starts hitting the large high grade intercepts that translate into demand for the company’s shares, that company has likely issued a large number of shares to raise the money to get to that point. A good example of this is Seafield Resources Ltd. (TSX.V:SFF), whose announcement on December 2nd, 2010 of a drill intercept grading 1.29 grams per tonne over 449 metres. The stock shot up to a high of $0.77, but the company announced a financing of 30 million shares at $0.50, which effectively killed the rally. At the same time, millions upon millions of shares from previous financings flooded the market, and the stock to this day labours in the $0.30 range, despite further outstanding drill and trench results.

Fortunately, while lousy financing structures taint the share price, beneath the ground the deposit remains intact.

That being said, there is clearly some substantial mineralization present on the property, and once the insiders and early investors who are in a big hurry to dump their cheap shares have done so, it is likely the company will proceed to develop the group of deposits on their Quinchia project in Colombia. It is worthy of note that the 30 million share private placement was subscribed for by the same parties who were substantial early shareholders of Ventana Gold. (TSX:VEN), a company that delivered over 1000% performance in the space of less than one year.

There are a multitude of examples, however, of companies whose incremental share price increase in a one year time horizon demonstrate the conviction, by investors, that there is a valuable mineral deposit underlying the demand for shares.

On the TSX Venture exchange alone, more than 400 out of 1600 companies in the resource sector have doubled in value in one year or less. Imagine 25% of your investments doubling in one year! And in Canadian dollars to boot!

While the rest of the markets quiver on the brink of collapse, and investors wait with baited breath for the next financial crisis to arrive (really its still the same crisis that started in 2008 – just delayed thanks to the U.S. government counterfeiting program), wise investors are building positions in junior gold exploration companies with good exploration results, because these will be the biggest beneficiaries of investor interest when the mainstream finally realizes that the TSX and TSX Venture exchanges are the absolutely best speculative games in town.

Community Talk

Re: Investors Missing the Boat on Gold and Silver ...

I am not a fan of James West or The Midas Letter and will not be burned again by his picks

Re: Investors Missing the Boat on Gold and Silver ...

Aaron . Normally considering timing I would agree but with GAX ,they are drilling right now and Robin Dow is known for bringing whatever he has to the market right away.. a while back when they  drilled ,they sent some on site results out  right away which were ok, nothing to get to excited about ,then a few weeks later the lab got to them and they were  in the 70's g/t  over about 10 ft. ,so this time we know theres gold there,and if they come back with a few more  high samples this thing isn't going to wait for May to be over. Yes ,if results are mediocre  ( like they were before,originally) then it might be alright to wait. I just don't think GAX PPS  will decline because of any market conditions anything worthy of taking a chance . If you check my old blog on GAX I think I  mentioned the depth .This is why ,REGCOURT is potentially of huge value .  The old successful mines in the area had gold deposits at depths of 2500 ft . GAX found 70 something g/t at just over 600 ft. Generally the gold gets better ,the deeper you go in that area of the Valley of Gold.  I am already thinking of possible suiters for the Regcourt deposit . Someone who knows how to start and run old mines . This company will be dealt imo,they are an explorer and I would like to have shares in the company that gets this deposit.(saves on tax) here in the U.S. anyway. I am buying into anything that has sound discovery potential IF they have already begun drilling . I just cannot take a chance of missing this one as I have so many times with others. I completely agree  with your waiting if they are gold& silver producers. It's going to take a while for them to be sought after  as they were recently these past few months.

Re: Investors Missing the Boat on Gold and Silver ...

The article makes great points. Look no further than what ATAC did last year around this time. They continued a drill program (with high hopes) and released the results towards the end of the summer. And unless you were living under a rock, you knew all about the story. They discovered a massive new trend. Granted, as JW states, that kind of an example is not the norm (1000% returns) but finding doubles and even triples is very possible with the right timing and extensive due diligence. I think it is a bit early to start buying new positions, but that's just me. I'm going to be waiting about another 3 weeks as I see further pressure to the downside during that time (thanks to the 'sell in May and go away' crowd). There is no better time (historically) to be a buyer in the stock market than early summer and the second half of December. Explorers magnify the benefit of buying in the summer because that is when they are very active with drill programs and results typically follow 6 to 8 weeks later.

I'll be taking a look at GAX southpen. Thanks.

Re: Investors Missing the Boat on Gold and Silver ...

Excellent article!  No better time to carefully select Gold and Silver explorers.The pontential for some with good 43-101 compliant resource assays is great. I completely agree with West,  look for companies that are continuing a successful drill campaign from an earlier date. If the market is down  for gold explorers and they hit something impressive it really doesnt matter what their  peers or the rest of the market is up to , or down to, .the stock will rise. Why not try my two SC pics ?,ESO and GAX. . Both have previous exploration success  on two properties that will be drilled this year.. . GAX or GALAHAD METALS has already begun  at Regcourt in Quebec