Four Factors Pointing To US Recession

many signs are now pointing to a US recession

Global markets are breaking under the immense weight of uncertainty, slowing growth, and runaway inflation. While the central banks may destroy the latter as interest rates rise in most developed countries, it will come at a high cost. After contracting by 1.4% in Q1, a U.S. recession may already be here. Below I outline four […]

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A Record Breaking Month for Stock Challenge

There’s really no other way to put it. The markets have been ruthless this April; the numbers don’t lie. But first, the most important number of the month: The #1 player for April 2022… Selecting two index tracking ETFs, member ‘beata3550’ claimed top spot in April’s contest with a 40.68% return! beata3550’s bold bet on […]

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Nowhere to Hide, Venture Drops 8% in 5 Days

recession fears surge as bear market takes hold

The TSX Venture is now firmly in bear market territory and may be teetering on the edge of a larger collapse. Canada’s junior exchange is now down just over 24% from its high of 1,018 in November 2021. The NASDAQ and Russell 2000 are also in bear markets as U.S. indices continue to falter. The […]

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Stock Selections Posting Mediocre Returns

The first two weeks of April have elapsed and here’s what we’re seeing… First off, the Stock Challenge Index (SCI) has spent most of the last couple of weeks in negative territory. The index came up for a short-lived breather only to be dragged back down following hints from US policymakers that tougher measures from […]

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Two Reasons the Fed Can’t Raise Interest Rates

The Fed Chair Jerome Powell was re-appointed to another four years of service on Monday. Yet, for some reason, gold and many inflation assets are tanking. Gold was off 1.5% today to $1,782 per ounce, while silver was down a whopping 3.75% to $23.33 per ounce. So why is the man whose policies took inflation […]

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Trump Could Be Done if this Doesn’t Happen ASAP

White House

The U.S. dollar may soon resume its decline, pushing gold and U.S. equities back to record levels. A negative correlation between the U.S. dollar and U.S. equities may influence the coming US Presidential election. As Ray Dalio poignantly explains in his book, “Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises,” “…prolonged monetization will lead people to question […]

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Record Stimulus and Deficits to Drive Gold in 2020

No asset influences the global markets more than the U.S. dollar, the world reserve currency. It’s held this hegemonic status for decades, dominating global commerce while serving as a constant reminder of America’s unparalleled economic, military, and political strength. Now, it appears that the only way to save the U.S. economy is by crushing the […]

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Governments “deliberately pushing the world economy down”

mervyn king says what central bankers must do

Former Bank of England Governor, Mervyn King, believes what happens next will depend on people’s behavior. The ongoing Covid-19 crisis has brought forth uncertain, volatile times. The Dow soared more than 10% – its biggest single-day gain since 1933. For a market that is falling faster than it did during the 1929 crash, it was […]

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The One Asset Trump is Crushing

Everything seems to be going up but the U.S. dollar (with the exception of Friday’s trading). The Dow Jones cleared 22,000, and other US indices broke to new all-time highs this past week. Copper hit fresh 2-year highs, and gold exploded to $1,273.60 an ounce Wednesday. These price movements are because of a falling U.S. […]

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