For decades, the Federal Reserve got away with increasing the money supply to juice the economy. But, it was reliant on an undeniable fact: during this entire period, money velocity was in decline, excluding pauses or very brief minuscule rises. The factors responsible for the decline in money velocity are less important. Investors need to […]
The Fed’s balance sheet is the key to market liquidity and performance. When it shrinks, the market and liquidity decline; when it expands, the opposite happens. So while the pandemic ushered in the greatest experiment of quantitative easing or QE in world history, we are now in a world of quantitative tightening or QT – […]
Just days after the Fed hiked rates another 75 basis points sending gold and most hard assets lower, metals are on fire. Silver is up nearly 7%, crude oil over 4%, and gold over 3% – a massive move for the metal. Copper was another colossal winner, up over 8% on the day. So, why […]
Global markets are breaking under the immense weight of uncertainty, slowing growth, and runaway inflation. While the central banks may destroy the latter as interest rates rise in most developed countries, it will come at a high cost. After contracting by 1.4% in Q1, a U.S. recession may already be here. Below I outline four […]
There’s really no other way to put it. The markets have been ruthless this April; the numbers don’t lie. But first, the most important number of the month: The #1 player for April 2022… Selecting two index tracking ETFs, member ‘beata3550’ claimed top spot in April’s contest with a 40.68% return! beata3550’s bold bet on […]
The TSX Venture is now firmly in bear market territory and may be teetering on the edge of a larger collapse. Canada’s junior exchange is now down just over 24% from its high of 1,018 in November 2021. The NASDAQ and Russell 2000 are also in bear markets as U.S. indices continue to falter. The […]
The first two weeks of April have elapsed and here’s what we’re seeing… First off, the Stock Challenge Index (SCI) has spent most of the last couple of weeks in negative territory. The index came up for a short-lived breather only to be dragged back down following hints from US policymakers that tougher measures from […]
The Fed Chair Jerome Powell was re-appointed to another four years of service on Monday. Yet, for some reason, gold and many inflation assets are tanking. Gold was off 1.5% today to $1,782 per ounce, while silver was down a whopping 3.75% to $23.33 per ounce. So why is the man whose policies took inflation […]
The U.S. dollar may soon resume its decline, pushing gold and U.S. equities back to record levels. A negative correlation between the U.S. dollar and U.S. equities may influence the coming US Presidential election. As Ray Dalio poignantly explains in his book, “Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises,” “…prolonged monetization will lead people to question […]
No asset influences the global markets more than the U.S. dollar, the world reserve currency. It’s held this hegemonic status for decades, dominating global commerce while serving as a constant reminder of America’s unparalleled economic, military, and political strength. Now, it appears that the only way to save the U.S. economy is by crushing the […]